Arris Insights

At the Intersection: AI and Return to Office

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and return-to-office mandates are reshaping the labor market and the nature of work. Increased investment in and adoption of AI by businesses and governments around the world have instigated a technological and economic transformation, while major corporations are mandating employees return to office after several years of remote work brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic. These market forces place employees in a position of waning power and flexibility.

Innovations in AI impact nearly all industries worldwide to varying degrees, and AI is poised to become increasingly embedded in the economy as businesses continue to adapt to the technological shift. McKinsey & Company estimates the annual economic impact on the global economy from nongenerative AI and other analytics to be $11 to $17.7 trillion, with an additional $2.6 to $4.4 trillion in economic benefits produced by generative AI–a subset of AI built using foundational models to create new, original content such as code, images, and videos.

The rapid development of AI technology challenges human ability to comprehensively measure its consequences on business and society. As AI continues to prove its value and adaptability in the workplace, concern grows in employees across industries and functions regarding job security and career trajectory. The World Economic Forum predicts the skills needed for work will change by 70% by 2030, largely due to the advancement of AI and other technologies. Customer operations, marketing and sales, software engineering, and research and development are business functions in which AI is projected to provide the most value, and potentially the most disruption to employment.

Large companies including Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Dell, and Starbucks issued back-to-office mandates starting in late 2024, marking a turning point in the post-pandemic workplace. Businesses have opted in favor of in-person collaboration and accountability despite the cost savings and technological capabilities to support fully-remote work. According to the Wall Street Journal, the balance of power in the labor market has shifted back toward employers.

The reality employees are up against is one of decreased power and flexibility. In a market already faced with uncertainty from AI disruption and volatile trade policies, hundreds of thousands of U.S. employees are having to make life changes in order to follow back-to-office mandates. Even if an employee decides a job is worth the potential tradeoffs of returning to office, many positions may be at risk for displacement by AI.

As AI continues to automate responsibilities previously held by humans, employees must prove they are willing to show up and upskill. AI literacy and the ability to capitalize on the potential of AI presents an opportunity for employers to expand employees’ skills in tandem with company productivity. PWC identified a 56% wage premium for AI skills when comparing workers in the same jobs with and without AI skills. Furthermore, an employee who prioritizes in-person collaboration and innovation is likely to be more valued than their counterparts when leadership is tasked with making AI-driven layoffs.

Much remains unknown about the ways AI will change how and where we work. Amid the uncertainty, one thing is for sure–AI is here to stay. Employees would be wise to respond to evolving challenges and perhaps unfavorable changes by taking advantage of opportunities to prove their creativity, leadership, and interpersonal skills valuable in this next chapter of highly innovative in-person work.